A report published by The Intercept journalist Arthur Neslen has unveiled a classified European Union document that could strip EU foreign ministers of their “plausible deniability” regarding knowledge of Israeli war crimes in Gaza, according to legal and political experts.
Despite mounting evidence of war crimes—and possibly genocide—presented in the internal 35-page assessment obtained by The Intercept, EU foreign ministers last month rejected calls to end arms sales to Israel.
A Bombshell Assessment
The assessment, authored by Olof Skoog, the EU’s Special Representative for Human Rights, was circulated to EU foreign ministers ahead of a November 18th council meeting. It included a proposal by the EU’s foreign policy chief to suspend political dialogue with Israel, a recommendation ultimately rejected by the EU ministers.
Skoog’s analysis cited evidence from UN sources regarding war crimes committed by Israel, Hamas, and Hezbollah since October 7, 2023. The UN estimates approximately 45,000 deaths in Gaza during this period, with more than half being women and children.
While the report acknowledged violations by Hamas and Hezbollah, its strongest condemnation was directed at Israeli forces.
Skoog also flagged the dehumanizing language used by Israeli political and military leaders against Palestinians, which he argued could help “demonstrate intent” for genocide.
The Implications for EU Politicians
Former Greek Finance Minister and Secretary-General of the Democracy in Europe Movement 2025, Yanis Varoufakis, highlighted the consequences for top EU officials, especially those from countries exporting arms to Israel, such as Germany, Italy, and France.
Roots of the Report
The report stemmed from a February request by Spain and Ireland to evaluate whether Israel’s war in Gaza violated the human rights provisions of the EU-Israel Association Agreement, a deal facilitating €46.8 billion in trade in 2022.
If violations had been confirmed, suspending the agreement could have been tabled. However, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, known for her pro-Israel stance, refused to act.
Skoog’s initial findings were submitted in July, with the updated November assessment obtained by The Intercept.
Key Findings from the Report
The report made the following key observations:
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Random and Indiscriminate Attacks:The death toll in Gaza, aligned with the demographic breakdown of its civilian population, indicates “random and indiscriminate” attacks that could qualify as war crimes.
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Hospital Strikes:Skoog refuted Israel’s defense for targeting hospitals, stating that deliberate targeting of hospitals could amount to war crimes, irrespective of any alleged Hamas presence.
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Civilian Protections:Under international law, Israel has the right to self-defense but must adhere to proportionality. As an occupying power, it is also obligated to safeguard the lives and health of those under its occupation.
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Weapon Exports:Skoog recommended EU states deny arms export licenses if there is a clear risk of such technology being used to commit severe violations of international law.
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Reactions from Activists and Experts
A Moral and Legal Reckoning
The leaked report exposes the EU’s complicity in Israel’s actions in Gaza and raises troubling questions about the intersection of human rights, international law, and political expediency. As the ICC monitors these developments, the world watches to see whether accountability will prevail over politics.
This document not only indicts the EU’s inaction but also reinforces calls for justice for the thousands of victims in Gaza.
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